Preseason Rankings
Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#154
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.5#344
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#150
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#168
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.6% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Average Seed 11.2 11.1 12.1
.500 or above 38.3% 46.1% 20.6%
.500 or above in Conference 36.5% 41.2% 25.8%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 10.6% 19.5%
First Four0.9% 1.2% 0.2%
First Round2.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Utah (Home) - 69.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 42 - 8
Quad 34 - 56 - 13
Quad 45 - 211 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 192   Southern Utah W 70-64 70%    
  Nov 29, 2020 165   North Dakota St. W 66-65 54%    
  Dec 04, 2020 228   Long Beach St. W 74-66 76%    
  Dec 09, 2020 31   @ Stanford L 59-73 10%    
  Dec 12, 2020 141   UC Santa Barbara W 65-63 57%    
  Dec 17, 2020 119   UC Irvine W 66-65 52%    
  Dec 19, 2020 315   Cal Poly W 74-61 88%    
  Dec 22, 2020 86   @ Boise St. L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 02, 2021 125   @ Santa Clara L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 07, 2021 263   @ Portland W 69-66 62%    
  Jan 09, 2021 91   San Francisco L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 14, 2021 159   San Diego W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 16, 2021 138   @ Pacific L 61-65 37%    
  Jan 21, 2021 74   St. Mary's L 62-66 36%    
  Jan 23, 2021 125   Santa Clara W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 30, 2021 159   @ San Diego L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 04, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 62-84 3%    
  Feb 06, 2021 74   @ St. Mary's L 59-69 19%    
  Feb 11, 2021 108   Pepperdine L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 13, 2021 138   Pacific W 64-62 56%    
  Feb 18, 2021 91   @ San Francisco L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 20, 2021 54   BYU L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 25, 2021 108   @ Pepperdine L 69-76 29%    
  Feb 27, 2021 263   Portland W 72-63 78%    
Projected Record 11 - 13 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.1 3.7 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.4 3.6 5.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.9 5.9 2.4 0.1 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.4 2.6 0.2 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.1 6.7 2.6 0.2 0.0 14.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.6 5.0 1.8 0.1 13.0 9th
10th 0.4 1.9 3.0 2.1 0.6 0.0 8.0 10th
Total 0.4 2.1 4.4 7.3 10.2 12.8 13.4 12.8 11.4 9.4 6.9 4.6 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 79.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 38.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-3 19.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 4.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 64.0% 36.0% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.2% 93.8% 16.0% 77.8% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.6%
14-2 0.5% 74.1% 15.2% 58.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 69.4%
13-3 1.1% 46.5% 6.8% 39.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 42.6%
12-4 2.4% 21.5% 2.7% 18.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.9 19.3%
11-5 4.6% 11.5% 4.8% 6.7% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 4.0 7.1%
10-6 6.9% 5.8% 3.3% 2.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.5 2.6%
9-7 9.4% 1.5% 1.3% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.2%
8-8 11.4% 0.5% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
7-9 12.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8
6-10 13.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.4
5-11 12.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 12.8
4-12 10.2% 10.2
3-13 7.3% 7.3
2-14 4.4% 4.4
1-15 2.1% 2.1
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.8% 1.0% 1.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 97.2 1.8%